Analysis: What might Syria strike look like?

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US Navy guided missile destroyersIf the United States attacks Syria, it’s likely to be much like the opening hours of the multinational military effort which ousted Muammar Qaddafi from power in Libya in 2011 – wave after wave of ship-based cruise missiles, launched at night and with considerable accuracy at military targets.

But as the US Navy positions missile-armed warships, the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad likely is hiding moveable targets and deploying decoys in what one retired battleship commander calls “the most intense, rapid moving cat-and-mouse game yet seen in strike warfare.”

British naval vessels, including submarines regularly in the area on the way to the Suez Canal, are likely to be involved as well as US Navy ships.

“A Royal Navy nuclear-powered submarine is said to be in the region while a number of warships recently left Britain for exercises in the Mediterranean,” reports the Telegraph newspaper. “Military sources suggested the early hours of the 2011 campaign against Col. Muammar Qaddafi could form a template for any operation. The Libya campaign began with a blitz of Tomahawk cruise missiles from US warships and from a British Trafalgar Class submarine.”

British warships may be ready and moving into position, but most of the naval attack would come from the US Sixth Fleet, which has four guided missile destroyers – the USS Gravely, USS Mahan, USS Barry, and USS Ramage – operating in the eastern Mediterranean Sea as they wait for the order to launch. Attack submarines carrying cruise missiles are believed to be in the Mediterranean as well.

“Targets would be headquarters, command posts, air defense, air fields, and some fielded forces, while avoiding places that Bashar himself is likely to lurk,” predicts John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, who estimates such an attack to total 150-200 Tomahawk cruise missiles.

Unlike Libya, where the goal was to get rid of dictator Qaddafi, that would not be the case with Mr. Assad.

“It seems the challenge is to do enough to not look silly, while not doing so much as to destabilize the regime,” says Mr. Pike.

“Most assuredly they would not be targeting poison gas facilities or stocks,” adds Mr. Pike in an e-mail exchange, because that could spread poisonous chemicals into civilian areas.

Ship-based Tomahawk missiles, which have been part of the US arsenal since 1983, had their combat debut during the first Gulf War in 1991. Since then, they’ve been used in Sudan, Afghanistan, Libya, and Yemen and again in Iraq during the “shock and awe” air attack on Baghdad at the start of the US invasion in 2003. All told, some 2,000 have been fired in combat.

Weighing about 3,000 pounds (depending on configuration), each missile is about 20 feet long and 20 inches in diameter and carries a warhead of several hundred pounds. The US Navy has more than 3,000 Tomahawks on its warships or in storage, according to StrategyPage.com.

Tomahawks fly at very low level, making it difficult for enemy radar to detect them, and their range and accuracy allow them to be fired from hundreds of miles offshore. But more sophisticated air-defense systems developed and deployed in recent years – including those flight tested by Russia – have put them at greater risk.

“It is quite clear that the president must authorize some kind of strike,” says retired US Navy Capt. Larry Seaquist, a former battleship commander and Pentagon strategist who predicts sea-based missile strikes, including from submarines, will be fired at targets in Syria. “But with every hour of delay the Syrian government is able to disperse and hide their forces and prepare their air defenses.”

“I’d also expect that they may deploy decoys and dummy targets – something that Saddam Hussein’s army did very skillfully” in Iraq, adds Captain Seaquist in an e-mail exchange.

“So what is likely going on right now is an intense effort by us to track the Syrian attempts to hide and continuously update our own targeting,” says Seaquist. “This may be the most intense, rapid moving such cat-and-mouse game yet seen in strike warfare.”

CSM

Photo: The U.S. guided-missile destroyer Barry launches a Tomahawk cruise missile off the coast of Libya.

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41 responses to “Analysis: What might Syria strike look like?”

  1. 5thDrawer Avatar
    5thDrawer

    Oh Yah .. all the ‘military analysts’ are working on this one.
    ‘We could do this.’ Or, ‘We could do that.’ Drag out all the ‘specs’ on weaponry too.
    ‘What if … imagine.’
    War-talk … it’s all the rage. Reporters standing ready … cams rolling … capture-the-moment … advertisers love it.
    Ludicrous statements ….
    “Unlike Libya, where the goal was to get rid of dictator Qaddafi, that would not be the case with Mr. Assad.”
    WHY? You want it all to go on a while?? Idiots. What’s with the ‘Mr. bit? Why not ‘dictator Assad’?
    ‘News-people’ … very weird.
    One thing … if you see all the surface ships driving away quickly, they might be going to do what many think is the only way to ‘settle’ the Middle East. See you in 30 years or so ….

    And if you want MY imagination working … ask the Mayor of New York how many days to 9/11.

    1. MekensehParty Avatar
      MekensehParty

      I agree
      All these speculations are simply ridiculous
      But one thing is true, if they’re going to give MR. assad all the time in the world to hide his arsenal and launch tomahawks on empty buildings this would be the greatest sham attack in history and Obama will look like the weakest US president ever.
      It’s nice to believe in diplomacy, UN investigations, and all that, but when you put a red line better keep your promises. I hope he’ll show that he has the balls to be the commander in chief…

      1. 5thDrawer Avatar
        5thDrawer

        Obama’s reality … his citizens would be happy to walk away from the whole place.
        Update Later: Seems the Brits have … except for their ‘aid workers’. :-/

        1. 5thDrawer Avatar
          5thDrawer

          Speaking of the ‘Pop-Up’ Adverts … I see ONE Minister is still trying … hehehe
          Adrenaline fix indeed … hahahahhaha … beauty.
          Ski Mt. Leb in the morning …. dodge bullets in the afternoon in Tripoli … scotch at night in Beirut 😉

          1. Hannibal Avatar

            LOL

      2. Obama wants Israel to be destroyed, do not be fooled

        1. MekensehParty Avatar
          MekensehParty

          He sure wants Israel’s bullish attitude to be destroyed I’ll give you that
          Israel needs to be reminded not to bite the hand that is feeding it
          Another thing I said years ago (since we’re bringing past posts)
          Bibi will pay dearly for giving lessons to the WH
          and he is!

        2. Hannibal Avatar

          Did you mean Osama? Without the U.S. Israel will last a week…

      3. Igor Chingoski Avatar
        Igor Chingoski

        I HAVE SOMETHING FOR YOU GUYS, SOMETHING THAT THIS FUCKEN JEW BORN FROM SLAVES (MekensehParty responded to toffi) SAID ABOUT LEBANESE AND LEBANON 2 YEARS AGO, THIS PARIAH IS HERE TO STIR SHIT AGAINST LEBANON AND SYRIA, AND HE THINKS THAT JEW SLAVES ARE SUPERIOR, WHAT A SHIT, SING WITH ME:

        ¡HABA LA SHIT LA KHARA!.

        SODOME AND GOMORRE IS IN ISRAEL.
        THEY REALLY ARE DEGENERATES AND FAGOTS, JERUSALEM CONVERTED IN GAY PARADES.

        READ GUYS…

        MekensehParty toffi

        • 2 years ago

        −Here comes the proud lebanese attacking, slurring and offending without even reading or understanding.
        So typical! If you want to make a statue to Bilal Herche no one’s stopping you, but the FBI won’t. The guy did a great job, never said the contrary but he DID NOT save the president’s life as the title says. Which is the subject of the note below.
        Now if you are pissed that you are part of a degenerate people that exagerate everything, write bs left and right about how great that shitty corner of the world where half animals are killing each others daily simply for being born sunni shia maronites druze… you can’t prove my point better than with what you wrote.
        it’s stubborn proud fanatics like you who made lebanon shitty in the first place and you wait to hear any lebanese fart around the world to be proud about lebanon… which is fine to give you some moral since internaly there is nothing to be proud of about being lebanese other than being #1 in the list of degenerates. Give me a wink when you have water or electricity running in your house, in the mean time “rouh kanniss edem el beit ta ma yeklak el dabbour el lebneneh, akbar dabbour bel 3alam robyen 3a tall el zbeleh be saida.” yek yek yek

        1. MekensehParty Avatar
          MekensehParty

          Igor Chingoski’s address:
          underground level 4 – Saida garbage mountain -Saida -Lebanon
          Married to Dabbour Saydawe
          Living from garbage and sewer residues with their four Jradin
          PS: I love it that you got this post out from 2 years ago
          one of my greatest posts!!! A piece of poetry!
          2 years later the majority of Lebanese has proven nothing other than being the #1 degenerates
          PS2: again give me a wink please when you have running water and electricity

          1. 5thDrawer Avatar
            5thDrawer

            LOLOLOL ….. ‘they’ DO watch us, don’t they?? 😉
            I imagine the ‘cells’ of ‘Big Brother’ filling with every thought we have ever had in the past … to be used along with the hungry rat when wanting to destroy all thought … and keep us ‘in line’. Orwell would have loved it. :-))
            Our only problem is figuring out WHICH Big Brother to avoid. 😉

  2. 5thDrawer Avatar
    5thDrawer

    Oh Yah .. all the ‘military analysts’ are working on this one.
    ‘We could do this.’ Or, ‘We could do that.’ Drag out all the ‘specs’ on weaponry too.
    ‘What if … imagine.’
    War-talk … it’s all the rage. Reporters standing ready … cams rolling … capture-the-moment … advertisers love it.
    Ludicrous statements ….
    “Unlike Libya, where the goal was to get rid of dictator Qaddafi, that would not be the case with Mr. Assad.”
    WHY? You want it all to go on a while?? Idiots. What’s with the ‘Mr. bit? Why not ‘dictator Assad’?

    ‘News-people’ … very weird.

    1. MekensehParty Avatar
      MekensehParty

      I agree
      All these speculations are simply ridiculous
      But one thing is true, if they’re going to give MR. assad all the time in the world to hide his arsenal and launch tomahawks on empty buildings this would be the greatest sham attack in history and Obama will look like the weakest US president ever.
      It’s nice to believe in diplomacy, UN investigations, and all that, but when you put a red line better keep your promises. I hope he’ll show that he has the balls to be the commander in chief…

      1. 5thDrawer Avatar
        5thDrawer

        Obama’s reality … his citizens would be happy to walk away from the whole place.

        1. 5thDrawer Avatar
          5thDrawer

          Speaking of the ‘Pop-Up’ Adverts … I see ONE Minister is still trying … hehehe
          Adrenaline fix indeed … hahahahhaha … beauty.

          1. Hannibal Avatar

            LOL

      2. cook2half Avatar
        cook2half

        Obama wants Israel to be destroyed, do not be fooled

        1. MekensehParty Avatar
          MekensehParty

          He sure wants Israel’s bullish attitude to be destroyed I’ll give you that
          Israel needs to be reminded not to bite the hand that is feeding it
          Another thing I said years ago (since we’re bringing past posts)
          Bibi will pay dearly for giving lessons to the WH
          and he is!

        2. Hannibal Avatar

          Did you mean Osama? Without the U.S. Israel will last a week…

      3. Igor Chingoski Avatar
        Igor Chingoski

        I HAVE SOMETHING FOR YOU GUYS, SOMETHING THAT THIS FUCKEN JEW BORN FROM SLAVES SAID ABOUT LEBANESE AND LEBANON 2 YEARS AGO, THIS PARIAH IS HERE TO STIR SHIT AGAINST LEBANON AND SYRIA, AND HE THINKS THAT JEW SLAVES ARE SUPERIOR, WHAT A SHIT, SING WITH ME:

        ¡HABA LA SHIT LA KHARA!.

        READ GUYS…

        MekensehParty toffi

        • 2 years ago

        −Here comes the proud lebanese attacking, slurring and offending without even reading or understanding.
        So typical! If you want to make a statue to Bilal Herche no one’s stopping you, but the FBI won’t. The guy did a great job, never said the contrary but he DID NOT save the president’s life as the title says. Which is the subject of the note below.
        Now if you are pissed that you are part of a degenerate people that exagerate everything, write bs left and right about how great that shitty corner of the world where half animals are killing each others daily simply for being born sunni shia maronites druze… you can’t prove my point better than with what you wrote.
        it’s stubborn proud fanatics like you who made lebanon shitty in the first place and you wait to hear any lebanese fart around the world to be proud about lebanon… which is fine to give you some moral since internaly there is nothing to be proud of about being lebanese other than being #1 in the list of degenerates. Give me a wink when you have water or electricity running in your house, in the mean time “rouh kanniss edem el beit ta ma yeklak el dabbour el lebneneh, akbar dabbour bel 3alam robyen 3a tall el zbeleh be saida.” yek yek yek

        1. MekensehParty Avatar
          MekensehParty

          Igor Chingoski’s address:
          underground level 4 – Saida garbage mountain -Saida -Lebanon
          Married to Dabbour Saydawe
          Living from garbage and sewer residues with their four Jradin
          PS: I love it that you got this post out from 2 years ago
          one of my greatest posts!!! A piece of poetry!
          2 years later the majority of Lebanese has proven nothing other than being the #1 degenerates
          PS2: again give me a wink please when you have running water and electricity

          1. 5thDrawer Avatar
            5thDrawer

            LOLOLOL ….. ‘they’ DO watch us, don’t they?? 😉

  3. Why can’t Obama just target (whatever he’s after) how Israel did 4 times this year ? his air force (not that he’s going to even use it) not good enough as ours ? LOL.

    1. 5thDrawer Avatar
      5thDrawer

      You know why cookie … everybody bitches if they do anything. American ‘conscience’ to be maintained. Israel just shrugs off the bitches.

      1. Have nothing against America, just Obama is a stain on human history.

        1. Igor Chingoski Avatar
          Igor Chingoski

          You guys come from the same family??? :-)))

          1. 5thDrawer Avatar
            5thDrawer

            Of Humans. Yes. Otherwise …. no thanks.
            Hmmm …. I thought red lines were straight ….

          2. Igor Chingoski Avatar
            Igor Chingoski

            You are Busted buddy! Why are you responding for cook2half? Because you are a hermaphrodite? You are Her and She is You? YOU LOST IT BASTARD LOL!
            YOU TALK TO YOURSELF, LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL!

            DON’T FORGET TO CHANGE NAMES BEFORE RESPONDING!

          3. Hannibal Avatar

            Igor
            5th is a good guy… you may disagree with him specially over a bottle of scotch but insults? NOPE.

  4. cook2half Avatar
    cook2half

    Why can’t Obama just target (whatever he’s after) how Israel did 4 times this year ? his air force (not that he’s going to even use it) not good enough as ours ? LOL.

    1. 5thDrawer Avatar
      5thDrawer

      You know why cookie … everybody bitches if they do anything. American ‘conscience’ to be maintained. Israel just shrugs off the bitches.

      1. cook2half Avatar
        cook2half

        Have nothing against America, just Obama is a stain on human history.

        1. Igor Chingoski Avatar
          Igor Chingoski

          You guys come from the same family??? :-)))

          1. 5thDrawer Avatar
            5thDrawer

            Of Humans. Yes. Otherwise ….
            Hmmm …. I thought red lines were straight ….

          2. Igor Chingoski Avatar
            Igor Chingoski

            You are Busted buddy! Why are you responding for cook2half? Because you are a hermaphrodite? You are Her and She is You? YOU LOST IT BASTARD LOL!
            YOU TALK TO YOURSELF, LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL!

            DON’T FORGET TO CHANGE NAMES BEFORE RESPONDING!

          3. Hannibal Avatar

            Igor
            5th is a good guy… you may disagree with him specially over a bottle of scotch but insults? NOPE.

  5. Igor Chingoski Avatar
    Igor Chingoski

    The only ones punished bombing Syria is the Syrian People, USA and the UK with the group of khara that includes the Turkey and Israel just wan’t to show they fart louder.

    In this forum there are no Lebanese, Only Jews barking to support the Palestinian Joseph Sabra with an insurrection that has admitted that several thousands of Jihadist are fighting with the “resistance”

    All Catholic Priests condemn this attack is under false pretences and all agree that is because of the Peace treaty between Lebanon and Syria establishing diplomatic relations with mutual respect.

    And since My post about the facts has been very unpopular among the Children of Zion, This time I will not include with My today’s opinion…

    NAAAAAAAAAAh

    Is not the Chemical weapons is to steal land:

    Just Remember that when Lebanon and Syria Re-established Diplomatic relations in 2009, We opened Our Embassy in Syria and Syria opened theirs in Lebanon respecting each other autonomy,

    Stating that Shebaa Farms are Lebanese.

    This is what Israel didn’t like because goes against their greed for keeping the Golan Heights and Shebaa farms, And this is why USA the UK and Israel harvested from Turkey an insurrection to topple Bashar Assad, Israel Don’t want anybody to have peace in the region is goes against them, Israel always will try to divide the region fomenting civilian unrest and rivalry the same way is been during many years, is a war of divide and defeat and is time for everyone to see what is really behind all this innocent bloodshed, is Evil.

    Lebanese army maps published in 1961 and 1966 specifically pinpoint several of the Shebaa Farms, including Zebdine, Fashkoul, Mougr Shebaa and Ramta, all of which are designated as being lebanese. Lebanese Ministry of Tourism maps also show the Lebanese-Syrian border running west of the Shebaa Farms. Syria has officially acknowledged the Farms are Lebanese.

    Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said the Israeli-occupied Shebaa Farms belong to Lebanon. Assad told a news conference in Paris before ending a state visit to France, Beirut and Damascus will demarcate their countries’ border at Shebaa Farms after Israel withdraws from the region. They will then submit a new map to the UN.

    You see? And now they want the Lebanese Government to do the dirty work killing Palestinians who in turn are protected by the UN this way Israel and USA can demonize Lebanon as committing genocide so the Israelis can keep Our Land/ Dirty game indeed, but only those with no moral are truly dirty.

    1. Hannibal Avatar

      Shebaa is too little too late… We want a piece of Israel and a piece of Syria… 😉

  6. Igor Chingoski Avatar
    Igor Chingoski

    The only ones punished bombing Syria is the Syrian People, USA and the UK with the group of khara that includes the Turkey and Israel just wan’t to show they fart louder.

    In this forum there are no Lebanese, Only Jews barking to support the Palestinian Joseph Sabra with an insurrection that has admitted that several thousands of Jihadist are fighting with the “resistance”

    All Catholic Priests condemn this attack is under false pretences and all agree that is because of the Peace treaty between Lebanon and Syria establishing diplomatic relations with mutual respect.

    And since My post about the facts has been very unpopular among the Children of Zion, This time I will not include with My today’s opinion…

    NAAAAAAAAAAh

    Is not the Chemical weapons is to steal land:

    Just Remember that when Lebanon and Syria Re-established Diplomatic relations in 2009, We opened Our Embassy in Syria and Syria opened theirs in Lebanon respecting each other autonomy,

    Stating that Shebaa Farms are Lebanese.

    This is what Israel didn’t like because goes against their greed for keeping the Golan Heights and Shebaa farms, And this is why USA the UK and Israel harvested from Turkey an insurrection to topple Bashar Assad, Israel Don’t want anybody to have peace in the region is goes against them, Israel always will try to divide the region fomenting civilian unrest and rivalry the same way is been during many years, is a war of divide and defeat and is time for everyone to see what is really behind all this innocent bloodshed, is Evil.

    Lebanese army maps published in 1961 and 1966 specifically pinpoint several of the Shebaa Farms, including Zebdine, Fashkoul, Mougr Shebaa and Ramta, all of which are designated as being lebanese. Lebanese Ministry of Tourism maps also show the Lebanese-Syrian border running west of the Shebaa Farms. Syria has officially acknowledged the Farms are Lebanese.

    Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said the Israeli-occupied Shebaa Farms belong to Lebanon. Assad told a news conference in Paris before ending a state visit to France, Beirut and Damascus will demarcate their countries’ border at Shebaa Farms after Israel withdraws from the region. They will then submit a new map to the UN.

    You see? And now they want the Lebanese Government to do the dirty work killing Palestinians who in turn are protected by the UN this way Israel and USA can demonize Lebanon as committing genocide so the Israelis can keep Our Land/ Dirty game indeed, but only those with no moral are truly dirty.

    1. Hannibal Avatar

      Shebaa is too little too late… We want a piece of Israel and a piece of Syria… 😉

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