Assad regime counting its days?

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In this interview Gershon Baskin, founder and CEO at the Israel and Palestine Center for Research and Information said ” Western experts seem to believe that the Assad regime is counting its days, that this regime will not be able to sustain the force of the uprising and, of course, the violence used by this regime against the uprising is creating the situation where this regime seems that it will collapse”

Interview with Gershon Baskin, founder and CEO at the Israel and Palestine Center for Research and Information in Jerusalem.

Syrian unrest has been escalating all the time as the Syrian military forces are shooting at more and more cities and towns around the country and more and more Syrian citizens are paying the price for the dictatorship in Syria with their own lives, when the Syrians are bombing towns and cities from the sea, from the land and there are many Palestinian refugees there who are also being hit. The Syrian army rockets and gunfire do not distinguish between people there and the Palestinians in the refugee camp who are now fleeing for their lives once again under attack and fire which is coming from the Syrian government which is the host country of these Palestinian refugees in Syria. So, this is spilling over the borders and we see Turkish forces mobilizing on the front for fear of massive attempts of Syrian citizens to become refugees in Turkey and the fleeing Palestinian refugees from a refugee camp in Syria now as well.

Why is there a Palestinian refugee camp in Syria?

Because in 1948 some 600,000-700,000 Palestinians took refuge in the aftermath of the war which led to the birth of the state of Israel and not to the birth of the Palestinians state as was supposed to happen in the UN resolution of 1947 and these Palestinians were escaping the fire with the hope that they would come back home at the end of the war. They did not go back to their homes and they became refugees. The other country in the Arab world which accepted them and granted them citizenship was Jordan, but even there they lived in refugee camps. They have been living in refugee camps from more than 60 years in Syria, in Lebanon and in other countries of the Middle East.

Does that mean that there are more Palestinian refugee camps in the region?

The largest refugee community is, of course, within Palestine itself. In Gaza and on the West Bank, there are about more than a million people who are living in refugee camps, who are defined as refugees; about half of the population of the West Bank and Gaza is defined as refugees. There is a large refugee population of around 350,000 thousand Palestinian refugees in Lebanon and between 150,000-200,000 Palestinian refugees in Syria.

Is there a chance that the most radical of the Palestinian organizations might want to retaliate?

I think that the Palestinian organizations and the Palestinian Authority government in Ramallah and the Hamas government in Gaza are all concerned about the welfare of the Palestinians who are under attack now in Syria by the Syrian government. This currently creates big problems for the Hamas leadership and for the other radical groups’ leadership in Syria who are hosted by the Syrian government because they cannot voice their disloyalty to President Assad, but at the same time their own people, their own constituents are under attack by the Assad regime, so that is a very uncomfortable situation for the Palestinian radical groups that have found a home in Syria over these years.

Do I get it right that the Syrian unrest might actually trigger off some kind of chain reaction?

I do not think so. I think we actually see some kind of stabilization in Lebanon now, probably because of the fear they have in Lebanon of the danger that the Syrian unrest could bring to Lebanon; they do not want to go back to the civil war. The Jordanian regime is engaging in serious democratic reforms for fear of the spillover, of the uprising in Jordan and we have to watch the situation in Jordan very carefully. But the regime in Jordan is also quite secure because of the fact that the majority of the population in Jordan are Palestinians and the Jordanian Hashemite Kingdom hopes that there is a chance that that would become a Palestinian state and they hope that the Palestinian issue would change. So, it is pretty much limited to Syria right now and, of course, we see it in Libya all the time, and the situation in Iraq is still unstable. We do not know a lot of it and it seems that there will be a wave of unrest spreading as a result of Syria. So, we have to watch the situation because if the Assad regime falls – and it seems it is going towards this condition – then Syria could easily break up into a series of denominational, intercommunity wars between the Sunni, and the Shia, and the Alawis, and the Druze, and the Christians ‑ it could break down into some kind of internal civil war as well.

You actually believe that the whole situation would still be contained within Syria?

I think it would be contained within Syria for some time. We have to watch it very carefully as this unfolds. Western experts seem to believe that the Assad regime is counting its days, that this regime will not be able to sustain the force of the uprising and, of course, the violence used by this regime against the uprising is creating the situation where this regime seems that it will collapse, but we have no idea what will emerge after it.

Voice of Russia

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28 responses to “Assad regime counting its days?”

  1. Darw101 Avatar

    It’s looking gloomy for the syrian leadership as each day goes by.

    1. leobetapar Avatar
      leobetapar

      it’s looking more and more rosy for the great shia project
      see the coward turk unable to authorize his wife to wear what she want
      shouting loudly pay by usa and ahl shitty but will he do it again? i guess no
      you guy know nothing the time to submission to the occident has past but unfortunatly you are culturaly unable to imagine what freedom means

    2. leobetapar Avatar
      leobetapar

      it’s looking more and more rosy for the great shia project
      see the coward turk unable to authorize his wife to wear what she want
      shouting loudly pay by usa and ahl shitty but will he do it again? i guess no
      you guy know nothing the time to submission to the occident has past but unfortunatly you are culturaly unable to imagine what freedom means

  2.  Avatar
    Anonymous

    It’s looking gloomy for the syrian leadership as each day goes by.

    1.  Avatar
      Anonymous

      it’s looking more and more rosy for the great shia project
      see the coward turk unable to authorize his wife to wear what she want
      shouting loudly pay by usa and ahl shitty but will he do it again? i guess no
      you guy know nothing the time to submission to the occident has past but unfortunatly you are culturaly unable to imagine what freedom means

  3. 5thDrawer Avatar
    5thDrawer

    In other words, it’s a bloody mess and no-one knows anything but verified body-counts for sure. Assad is probably planning his own escape route.
      If you wish to have the ‘sect-based’ mess continue, go fight with whatever ‘brothers’ you have in Syria. Take the war to there.
    Those wishing for peace, prosperity, and democracy in Lebanon can stay behind and defend the border after the others leave.

    Yah … another dream.

    1. leobetapar Avatar
      leobetapar

      yes yes it’s escape route lolololol what you haven’t plan it’s that it’s escape route end in beyrouth by fullfilling the dream of his father

    2. Patience2 Avatar
      Patience2

      Do you ever get the feeling that you’re surrounded by a cloud of fruit flies??

  4. 5thDrawer Avatar
    5thDrawer

    In other words, it’s a bloody mess and no-one knows anything but verified body-counts for sure. Assad is probably planning his own escape route.
      If you wish to have the ‘sect-based’ mess continue, go fight with whatever ‘brothers’ you have in Syria. Take the war to there.
    Those wishing for peace, prosperity, and democracy in Lebanon can stay behind and defend the border after the others leave.

    Yah … another dream.

  5.  Avatar
    Anonymous

    In other words, it’s a bloody mess and no-one knows anything but verified body-counts for sure. Assad is probably planning his own escape route.
      If you wish to have the ‘sect-based’ mess continue, go fight with whatever ‘brothers’ you have in Syria. Take the war to there.Those wishing for peace, prosperity, and democracy in Lebanon can stay behind and defend the border after the others leave.

    Yah … another dream.

    1.  Avatar
      Anonymous

      yes yes it’s escape route lolololol what you haven’t plan it’s that it’s escape route end in beyrouth by fullfilling the dream of his father

    2.  Avatar
      Anonymous

      Do you ever get the feeling that you’re surrounded by a cloud of fruit flies??

    3.  Avatar
      Anonymous

      Do you ever get the feeling that you’re surrounded by a cloud of fruit flies??

    4.  Avatar
      Anonymous

      Do you ever get the feeling that you’re surrounded by a cloud of fruit flies??

  6. Since the beginning of the Arab Spring, their was no way Syria was going to escape from it, especially in this internet/cell phone world. Even though his own father murdered over 10, 00 people in past protests, these times are different. He cannot have a prolonged protests occupying his nation every day.

    I am sure Iran is urging him to continue fighting the protesters with whatever means. After all, Iran has been successful so far in quelling their own protests. But Syria is different. It’s an Arab country and the wave of the Arab Spring will sweep over this nation, like it has or will to the other Arab nations. This is definitely an Arab movement at the moment.

    As each day goes by and each dead body is buried, will be a day closer that the Assad family will no longer rule Syria.

    1. leobetapar Avatar
      leobetapar

      you dream,that allows the baasiste to know where are the traitors and criminals .Now see how well they take care of them

    2. leobetapar Avatar
      leobetapar

      you dream,that allows the baasiste to know where are the traitors and criminals .Now see how well they take care of them

  7.  Avatar
    Anonymous

    Since the beginning of the Arab Spring, their was no way Syria was going to escape from it, especially in this internet/cell phone world. Even though his own father murdered over 10, 00 people in past protests, these times are different. He cannot have a prolonged protests occupying his nation every day.

    I am sure Iran is urging him to continue fighting the protesters with whatever means. After all, Iran has been successful so far in quelling their own protests. But Syria is different. It’s an Arab country and the wave of the Arab Spring will sweep over this nation, like it has or will to the other Arab nations. This is definitely an Arab movement at the moment.

    As each day goes by and each dead body is buried, will be a day closer that the Assad family will no longer rule Syria.

    1.  Avatar
      Anonymous

      you dream,that allows the baasiste to know where are the traitors and criminals .Now see how well they take care of them

  8. andre2011 Avatar
    andre2011

    It is really a tragedy in Syria but no doubt it will end with victory to the syrians, lebanese and palestinians. The army that bacher and his father prepared to to liberate Golan Heights and Palestine is killing men , women and children and destroying towns and cities to protect a Mad Tyrant. We HOPE that some army OFFICERS will realise what they are doing and put end to the regime of this MAD DOG.

  9.  Avatar
    Anonymous

    It is really a tragedy in Syria but no doubt it will end with victory to the syrians, lebanese and palestinians. The army that bacher and his father prepared to to liberate Golan Heights and Palestine is killing men , women and children and destroying towns and cities to protect a Mad Tyrant. We HOPE that some army OFFICERS will realise what they are doing and put end to the regime of this MAD DOG.

  10. andre2011 Avatar

    There is  no doubt that it is a matter of days or say weeks Bachar will join Kadafi some where.

  11.  Avatar

    There is  no doubt that it is a matter of days or say weeks Bachar will join Kadafi some where.

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  14. easy jackpot Avatar
    easy jackpot

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