Barrak warns Lebanon of ‘major chaos’ if next year’s elections delayed

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US envoy Tom Barrack says Hezbollah could seek to postpone elections to ‘re-build militarily, re-organize politically’ and it is time for Lebanon to act on disarming the group

BEIRUT- US Special Envoy Tom Barrack warned Monday against political turmoil in Lebanon over the postponement of next year’s parliamentary elections.

“Postponing the 2026 elections under the pretext of war would ignite major chaos within Lebanon, fracturing an already fragile political system and reigniting sectarian distrust,” Barrack said on the US social media company X.

He said Hezbollah’s continued military and political dominance could delay elections to preserve its power base, “to rebuild militarily, re-organize politically, and renegotiate the post-war balance of power before facing the electorate.”

Barrack warned that any delay of the polls would exacerbate divisions among Christian, Sunni, and reformist blocs and risk triggering nationwide unrest similar to the 2019 protests.

“Elections in such a moment would expose [Hezbollah’s] weakened standing, risk electoral setbacks for its allies, and embolden rival factions to challenge its dominance within Lebanon’s fragile sectarian system,” he said.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place in May to elect members of the 128-seat parliament.

There was no immediate comment from Hezbollah on Barrack’s comments.

Describing a recently reached ceasefire deal in Gaza as “the first tesserae in a renewed mosaic of partnership,” the US envoy called Syria and Lebanon “two vital pieces of this architecture of peace.”

He called on Lebanon to “quickly separate” from Hezbollah and to complete the disarmament of the group to restore full state control over armed forces.

“Now is the time for Lebanon to act,” he said.

In August, the Lebanese government approved a plan proposed by Barrack to confine all weapons under state control. Hezbollah rejected the plan and stressed that it will retain its arms until Israel withdraws from five border outposts that it occupies in the south in violation of a ceasefire.

Under the terms of the November 2024 truce, Israel was supposed to fully withdraw from southern Lebanon by January 2025. However, it has so far only partially pulled out troops and continues to maintain a military presence at five border outposts.

The key dispute

The key dispute in Lebanon is over the expatriate vote , while the cabinet demanded that the issue to be included in the upcoming parliamentary session, Speaker Nabih Berri , Hezbollah’s top ally refused to include it which outraged those MP’S who are the majority that demanded a repeat of the 2018 and 2022 elections , when expatriates voted for the 128 representatives, each in their home districts, to prevent expatriates from being marginalized , while Berri and Hezbollah want the expatriate vote limited to six representatives, despite the fact that the expatriates( including Shiites) are the real majority and according to observers they are the only reason Lebanon is still on the map

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